The big questions
Will the World Health Organization declare a disease a pandemic between January 1 and December 31, 2026?
The outlook
World Health Organization declares a disease a pandemic between January 1 and December 31, 2026
5% Very unlikely
As of Oct 4, 7:03 AM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
The last six weeks
6% on Aug 20 · 5% now
More big questions
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