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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

2028 · The big questions

Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Who leads

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%

Then Gavin Newsom (17%), Jon Ossoff (16%)

As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 20% on Aug 16 · 18% now