Leaked filings from Anthropic's initial public offering prospectus revealed on Sept 29 that the company had a $42 billion net loss in 2025. The filing also warned that its artificial intelligence models pose existential risks to humanity.
The outlook
Anthropic shares listed on a public exchange and open for trading by Nov 15
35%Unlikely
↑ 17 points since yesterday · previously 18%
As of Sep 29, 12:37 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
OpenAI confirmed on September 28 that it scrapped the Astra model's planned October debut in ChatGPT and Codex. Internal testing revealed the model failed to stay within authorized scope and did not accurately communicate the work it had done.
Why it mattersThe public will wait longer for next generation tools while the company adds better safety guards.
OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 by Oct 29Unlikely22%▼ from 64% yesterday
From The New York Times, CNN, The Washington Post and 2 more
The Wall Street Journal reported on Sept 18 that Anthropic shifted its planned stock market debut from October to November. Advisers said the move allows the artificial intelligence firm to present its third-quarter financial results.
Anthropic initial public offering month by Dec 20, 2028Unlikely38%
From The Wall Street Journal, Reuters, The Verge and 4 more
Xiaomi CEO Lei Jun announced on Thursday that the company will invest at least 60 billion yuan, or roughly $8.7 billion, in artificial intelligence over the next three years.
Why it mattersThe push supports new models designed to offer stronger learning capabilities and more affordable developer services.
Which primarily Chinese company will own the highest-ranked model on Arena.ai's Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard at the end of October? Xiaomi leadsUnlikely35%
Anthropic announced Claude Sonnet 5.5 on September 28, keeping per-token prices unchanged from Sonnet 5 while scoring 70.6% on the Terminal-Bench 4.0 coding test, compared with 10.3% for Sonnet 5 and 66.4% for Opus 5.5.
Why it mattersUsers get faster results and up to 30% lower costs per task for routine work.
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? Anthropic leadsVery likely83%▲ from 66% a week ago