The Midterms · The big questions
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Who leads
Democratic Party 92%
Then Republican Party (8%)
As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
The last six weeks
Democratic Party: 86% on Aug 16 · 92% now
More big questions on The Midterms
Which parties will control the House and Senate after the 2026 midterms?Democrats Sweep62% ▼4R Senate, D House30%Republicans Sweep8%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party62% ▼4Republican Party38%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the midterms?52 best guess+1 since yesterday