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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

The Midterms · The big questions

Which parties will control the House and Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Who leads

Democrats Sweep 62%

Then R Senate, D House (30%), Republicans Sweep (8%)

As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

Democrats Sweep: 50% on Aug 16 · 62% now