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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

2028 · The big questions

Who will be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?

Who leads

J.D. Vance 51%

Then Marco Rubio (15%), Tucker Carlson (3%)

As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

J.D. Vance: 47% on Aug 16 · 51% now