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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

The big questions

When will Vladimir Putin leave office as President of Russia?

The outlook

Vladimir Putin leaves office as President of Russia by Jun 30, 2027

10% Very unlikely

As of Oct 2, 7:02 AM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

12% on Aug 18 · 10% now