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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

The big questions

When will the United States announce the end of its blockade of Iran?

The outlook

United States announces end of its blockade of Iran by Dec 31, 2027

54% Toss-up

As of Oct 2, 7:02 AM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

78% on Sep 25 · 54% now