The big questions
Will Rockstar Games or Take-Two announce by November 19, 2026, that Grand Theft Auto VI will miss its release date?
The outlook
Rockstar Games or Take-Two announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will miss its release date by November 19, 2026
6% Very unlikely
As of Sep 29, 5:15 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
The last six weeks
8% on Aug 15 · 6% now
More big questions
Who will win the 2028 presidential election?JD Vance21%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%Jon Ossoff12%
Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%Gavin Newsom17%Jon Ossoff16%
Who will be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?J.D. Vance51%Marco Rubio15%Tucker Carlson3%
Who will win the next French presidential election?Marine Le Pen43% ▲5Édouard Philippe18%Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic Party92%Republican Party8%
Which parties will control the House and Senate after the 2026 midterms?Democrats Sweep62% ▼4R Senate, D House30%Republicans Sweep8%