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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

AI · The big questions

When will OpenAI hold an IPO?

The outlook

OpenAI holds an IPO by Jun 30, 2027

57% Toss-up

As of Sep 29, 5:15 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

51% on Aug 29 · 57% now