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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

AI · The big questions

Which AI model will be the best at the end of 2026?

Who leads

Claude 74%

Then ChatGPT (12%), Gemini (10%)

As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

Claude: 68% on Aug 16 · 74% now