AI · The big questions
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
The outlook
OpenAI achieves AGI by Dec 31, 2029
66% Likely
As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
The last six weeks
45% on Aug 16 · 66% now
The news, and what's likely next.
AI · The big questions
The outlook
OpenAI achieves AGI by Dec 31, 2029
66% Likely
As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
45% on Aug 16 · 66% now