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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

AI · The big questions

When will Anthropic hold an IPO?

The outlook

Anthropic holds an IPO by Dec 31

80% Very likely

↑ 5 points since yesterday · previously 75%

As of Sep 29, 5:15 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

82% on Aug 15 · 80% now