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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Decided This Week

Who will win the Pará governor election?

Who leads

Hana Ghassan 58%

Then Dr. Daniel Santos (41%), Éder Mauro (<1%)

As of Sep 30, 7:04 AM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

Hana Ghassan: 58% on Aug 16 · 58% now