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The news, and what's likely next.

Decided This Week

When will the next senior-level US-Iran diplomatic meeting take place?

Decided Monday, October 5, updated every morning · How outlooks work

The outlook

Next senior-level US-Iran diplomatic meeting by Oct 5

9% Very unlikely

↓ 3 points since yesterday · previously 12%

As of Sep 30, 7:04 AM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

16% on Sep 29 · 9% now

Stories about this

New · Qatar conveys United States feedback to Iran on seven-day de-escalation proposal
Where will the next senior US-Iran diplomatic meeting take place by December 31? No Meeting by December 31 leads: Unlikely (36%)

Also decided soon

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