What share of the vote will Renan Santos receive in the first round of Brazil's presidential election?
The outlook
What share of the vote will Renan Santos receive in the first round of Brazil's presidential election?
3% best guess
−2% since yesterday
As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
Stories about this
New · Quaest poll puts Renan Santos at three percent in Brazil presidential race
What percentage of valid votes will Renan Santos receive in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, presidential election first round? Best guess 3.0% (−2.0% in a day); most likely range 2-4% (47%)
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