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Quaest poll puts Renan Santos at three percent in Brazil presidential race

A Quaest poll published on Sept 28 placed Renan Santos at 3% in Brazil's presidential first-round race. Lula led with 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro followed with 34%.

Why it mattersA candidate must win over half of valid votes to avoid a second-round runoff.

How we got here

  1. Toffoli authorized Santos to resume online campaigning on registered profiles and restored access to campaign funds, interviews, and debates. Globo
  2. The TSE listed twelve presidential candidacies, including Renan Santos and running mate Aroldo Medina for Missão. Br
  3. A Quaest first-round scenario put Santos at three percent. Br
  4. Quaest began in-person fieldwork for the poll it released four days later. Br
  5. A Datafolha first-round scenario placed Santos at three percent. Globo
  6. A new Quaest poll showed Santos at three percent in the first-round scenario. Br
  7. Brazil scheduled its presidential first-round vote. Br
  8. A presidential runoff is scheduled if no candidate wins more than half of valid votes in the first round. As Coa

What's likely next

  1. Brazil’s first-round election; the TSE calendar says voting is scheduled from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. Brasília time.
  2. Presidential runoff, if no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.

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