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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Brazil's Election

Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in Federal District Datafolha poll

A Datafolha poll released on October 2 showed Flávio Bolsonaro leading Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 44% to 35% in Brazil's Federal District.

How we got here

  1. A poll placed Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Lula at 41% to 34% in the Federal District. Globo
  2. A poll showed Bolsonaro at 38% and Lula at 32% in a technical tie in the Federal District. Globo
  3. Datafolha interviewed 910 people in the Federal District for its poll. Globo
  4. A later Datafolha poll reported Bolsonaro at 44% and Lula at 35% in the Federal District. Globo
  5. Brazil’s first-round election is scheduled; polling stations are set to operate from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Brasília time. Br
  6. An eventual second round is scheduled for this date. Br

What's likely next

  1. First-round voting; polling stations are scheduled to operate from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Brasília time.
  2. An eventual runoff is scheduled if needed.

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