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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Brazil's Election

Real Time Big Data poll puts Capitão Alberto Neto ahead in Amazonas

In Amazonas, a Real Time Big Data poll released on October 2 showed Capitão Alberto Neto leading the Senate race with 25% of the consolidated vote. Eduardo Braga, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério tied for second place at 19% each.

How we got here

  1. A guide to the Amazonas Senate candidates was published. Br
  2. Eduardo Braga reached 27% and Capitão Alberto Neto reached 17% in a combined poll tally. Globo
  3. Candidates debated the Manaus Free Trade Zone and SUS health-system waiting lists. Br
  4. A poll placed Braga at 42% and Alberto Neto at 29% for voters' first Senate choice. Br
  5. Fieldwork began for a survey, with interviews continuing through October 1. Br
  6. A poll placed Alberto Neto first in a consolidated tally, with Braga, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério tied behind him. Br
  7. The first-round general election was scheduled, with voting set for 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. Brasília time. Br

What's likely next

  1. Amazonas voters are scheduled to vote in the first round of the general election; polls are scheduled to be open from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. Brasília time.

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