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The Likely

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Decided This Week

What percentage of the vote will Flávio Bolsonaro receive in Brazil’s presidential election first round?

The outlook

What percentage of the vote will Flávio Bolsonaro receive in Brazil’s presidential election first round?

46.5% best guess

+3% since yesterday

As of Oct 4, 7:03 AM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works