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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Brazil's Election · The big questions

Who will win Brazil’s presidential election?

Who leads

Flávio Bolsonaro 58%

Then Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (42%), Ciro Gomes (1%)

As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

Flávio Bolsonaro: 29% on Aug 16 · 58% now