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The Likely

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Brazil's Election

Quaest poll estimates Allyson leading Rio Grande do Norte governor race

A final Quaest poll published on Oct 3 estimated Allyson at 37% of valid votes, Cadu de Lula at 32%, and Álvaro Dias at 29% for Rio Grande do Norte governor.

Why it mattersVoters will likely head to a second-round runoff if no candidate secures an absolute majority of valid votes.

How we got here

  1. A poll placed Cadu in the lead with 37.1%, followed by Álvaro Dias at 27.3% and Allyson at 27.1%. Br
  2. Cadu walked in the North Zone, Allyson led a motorcade in the West Zone, and Álvaro Dias filmed in the South Zone. Globo
  3. A pre-election poll showed Allyson leading valid votes at 37%, followed by Cadu at 32% and Álvaro Dias at 29%. Globo
  4. The first round of voting was scheduled from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. Brasília time. Br
  5. A second round was scheduled in case it was required. Br

What's likely next

  1. First-round voting is scheduled from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. Brasília time; the election result will determine whether the governor’s race is decided in that round.
  2. A runoff is scheduled if no candidate wins an absolute majority of valid votes in the first round.

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