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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

2028 · The big questions

Who will win the 2028 presidential election?

Who leads

JD Vance 21%

Then Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (13%), Jon Ossoff (12%)

As of Sep 29, 5:15 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

JD Vance: 23% on Aug 16 · 21% now