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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

The Midterms

Tim Scott leaves Georgia and North Carolina Senate races off target list

National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair Tim Scott omitted Georgia and North Carolina from his list of top Senate targets on Sept 24.

Why it mattersShifting voting patterns could change which political party leads Congress and writes future federal laws.

What's likely next

  1. Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and MaineToss-up53%▼ from 67% a week ago

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