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The Midterms

Silver Bulletin puts Democrats ahead by 9.6 points in adjusted generic ballot average

By The Likely · Updated Sep 30, 6:57 AM ET · Drawn from 6 sources · Written by AI, checked against sources

Silver Bulletin updated its midterm forecast on September 29, putting Democrats ahead by 9.6 points in its generic congressional ballot average. The update also reported Democratic polling leads across six key Senate states.

How we got here

  1. Marist’s national survey began; interviews ran through September 15. Edu
  2. Marist concluded its national survey. Edu
  3. Emerson College Polling began its national survey; interviews ran through September 22. Emersoncollegepolling
  4. Emerson College Polling concluded its national survey. Emersoncollegepolling
  5. Emerson College Polling published a national poll showing Democrats leading forty-two percent to fifty-three percent among likely voters. Emersoncollegepolling
  6. Silver Bulletin updated its midterm forecast, reporting a Democratic generic-ballot lead and Democratic leads in six key Senate races. Natesilver
  7. The general election for Congress is scheduled. Gov

What's likely next

  1. Silver Bulletin says it will regularly update its forecast charts as new election polls and other data arrive; it did not specify the date of its next update.
  2. The general election for Congress is scheduled.
  3. Democrats hold at least 235 House seats and 51 Senate seatsToss-up54%▲ from 48% yesterday

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