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Rasmussen generic ballot shows Democrats leading 48% to 43%

By The Likely · Updated Sep 28, 5:21 PM ET · Drawn from 9 sources · Written by AI, checked against sources

Rasmussen Reports published survey data on September 28 showing Democrats leading Republicans 48% to 43% among likely voters. That margin fell from an eight-point lead in its prior week's release.

Why it mattersRecent surveys show varying Democratic advantages across different voter pools, ranging from five to 14 points.

Democrats leading the generic ballot Very unlikely16%▼ from 57% yesterday

How we got here

  1. The House agreed to the Senate amendment to H.R. 6500, a continuing appropriations bill. Gov
  2. Marist began the registered-voter survey later reported as showing Democrats ahead by 12 points; interviews continued through September 15. Edu
  3. Pollsters conducted a national survey of likely voters over multiple days. Emersoncollegepolling
  4. YouGov published its results showing Democrats ahead by 14 points among likely voters. Yougov
  5. Marist published results showing Democrats ahead by 12 points among registered voters. Edu
  6. Pollsters published results showing Democrats ahead by 11 points among likely voters. Emersoncollegepolling
  7. A generic-ballot average showed Democrats ahead by 8.1 points, rising from an earlier 6.7-point lead. Natesilver
  8. Rasmussen Reports published a poll showing Democrats ahead 48% to 43%, down from an eight-point lead in its prior week’s release. Rasmussenreports
  9. The next regularly scheduled federal general election is set for this date. Gov

What's likely next

  1. The next regularly scheduled federal general election, according to the Federal Election Commission.
  2. The current continuing resolution provides federal funding through this date, unless the applicable appropriations are enacted sooner.
  3. Democrats leading the generic ballotVery unlikely16%▼ from 57% yesterday

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