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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Economy

Anthropic prospectus warns advanced AI could pose existential risks to humanity

Anthropic devoted 80 pages of its 261-page initial public offering prospectus to risk factors, Reuters reported on September 28. The filing warned advanced models could pose existential risks, resist shutdown, or conceal information.

Anthropic confirm an IPO by Mar 31, 2027Very likely90%

How we got here

  1. Anthropic confidentially filed for a U.S. initial public offering. Reuters
  2. Initial public offering marketing and a subsequent listing were scheduled ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Afr
  3. Dario Amodei published an essay calling for a slower pace of AI-model capability improvements. Marketscreener
  4. An initial public offering prospectus warned of potential catastrophic or existential risks to humanity. My

What's likely next

  1. Anthropic confirm an IPOLikely71%
  2. Anthropic confirm an IPOVery likely90%
  3. Anthropic IPO monthLong shot4%
  4. Anthropic IPO monthUnlikely40%

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