Elections Abroad
Spain's Sánchez weighs calling snap election as housing defeat looms
Spain's Sánchez weighed calling a snap election as a defeat on housing reform loomed, Politico reported on Oct 2, 2026.
What's likely next
- Spain calls a snap electionToss-up58%▲ from 22% yesterday
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Analysis & opinion
- Spain’s rentier euthanasia targets wrong diseaseBreakingviews · Oct 2 · opinion
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New · US and Iran speak separately with mediators over seven-day proposal
Next senior US-Iran diplomatic meeting by Oct 31: Unlikely (24%) ▼ from 46%
New · Unknown projectile strikes tanker transiting Strait of Hormuz, sparking fire
How many vessels will pass through the Strait of Hormuz from September 28 to October 4? Best guess 25.7 (−1.8 in a day)
New · Qatari mediators deliver U.S. feedback to Iran on seven-day peace plan
Where will the next senior US-Iran diplomatic meeting take place by December 31? No Meeting by December 31 leads: Toss-up (44%)
New · Russian strikes hit Kyiv Southern Bridge again overnight
Russia targets Kyiv by Oct 4: Very likely (92%) ▲ from 53%
New · TV Globo cancels final presidential debate after court rulings and candidate boycotts
Flávio Bolsonaro participate in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026: Long shot (2%) ▼ from 97%