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Great Powers

Ukrainian forces advance in southwestern Chasiv Yar and hit Russian position

Ukrainian forces advanced in southwestern Chasiv Yar and hit a Russian position near Mykolaivka, according to footage published Sept 26. A Russian military blogger stated on Sept 27 that Ukrainian troops continue entering through the contested area.

Why it mattersUkrainian control of this elevated stronghold prevents Russian forces from advancing toward major Donetsk cities.

How we got here

  1. Russia claimed it captured Chasiv Yar, while Zelensky denied the claim and called it Russian disinformation. Kyivindependent
  2. Serhii Chaus stated Chasiv Yar remained under Ukrainian control, though civilian access and humanitarian deliveries were impossible. Ukranews
  3. Ukrainian forces struck a Russian position between western Mykolaivka and Chasiv Yar following a limited Russian infiltration. Criticalthreats
  4. A Russian military blogger claimed Ukrainian forces continued entering Chasiv Yar through Mykolaivka, calling the area a contested gray zone. Criticalthreats
  5. RBC-Ukraine published a report summarizing ISW’s findings, including Ukrainian advances near Chasiv Yar and the failure of Russian attacks to make progress in nearby areas. Ua

What's likely next

  1. Russia captures all of Chasiv YarUnlikely38%▼ from 68% a week ago

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