Weather
Berkeley Earth gives 2026 a 93% shot at hottest year on record
Berkeley Earth estimated on September 24 that 2026 has a 93% chance of becoming the warmest year on record. Copernicus logged August 2026 at 16.96°C, calling it the joint-warmest month overall, tied with July 2023.
Why it mattersRedistributing vast climate energy across an already warmer planet poses dangerous risks to global safety.
How we got here
- The central Pacific El Niño temperature anomaly reached 3.05°C, surpassing the previous record set on the same reference baseline. The Guardian
- Berkeley Earth published an update estimating a 93% chance that 2026 would be the warmest year on record. Berkeleyearth
- NASA scheduled the September GISTEMP update for 11:00 a.m. EDT. Gov
What's likely next
- Scheduled October GISTEMP update.
All coverage
The coverage
- August 2026 Temperature UpdateBerkeleyearth
- After the hottest summer on record, where will September rank in the history books?FOX Weather · Sep 24
- Copernicus: August was the world’s joint hottest month on record, pushing global temperatures back above 1.5°C above pre-industrial levelsEu
- ‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peakThe Guardian
- September projected to finish as hottest in history, end with heavy rainLaredo Morning Times · Sep 25
Analysis & opinion
- Analysis: ‘Super El Niño’ breaks ‘remarkable’ all-time recordCarbon Brief · Sep 21
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