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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Hurricanes

National Hurricane Center predicts Hurricane Rachel will reach major hurricane strength

Hurricane Rachel strengthened off southwestern Mexico on September 30, 2026. The National Hurricane Center projects the storm will reach 120 mph winds by October 1.

Why it mattersDangerous surf, rip currents, and tropical-storm conditions threaten southwestern Mexico and Baja California.

What's likely next

  1. The NHC forecast Rachel could become a major hurricane by October 1, possibly sooner; its forecast advisory projected 105 kt (120 mph) winds at 1800 UTC October 1.

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