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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

The Oscars · The big questions

Who will win the Oscar for Best Actress?

Who leads

Julianne Moore 60%

Then Inde Navarrette (18%), Sandra Hüller (4%)

As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

Julianne Moore: 32% on Aug 16 · 60% now