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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

The Oscars · The big questions

Who will win the Oscar for Best Actor?

Who leads

John Malkovich 32%

Then Matt Damon (26%), Andrew Scott (24%)

As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

John Malkovich: 6% on Aug 16 · 32% now