Hurricanes · The big questions
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
Who leads
Florida 30%
Then Louisiana (14%), Texas (12%)
As of Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works
The last six weeks
Florida: 33% on Aug 19 · 30% now
More big questions on Hurricanes
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?0 best guess
How many hurricanes will form during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?0 best guess−2 since yesterday
Hurricane with winds of at least 74 mph makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season Very unlikely6%▼ from 10% yesterday
Hurricane of Category 1 strength or higher makes landfall in Hawaii before 2027Very unlikely12%
What category will Hurricane Nolo reach?4.5 best guess