The Fed · The big questions

What will the Federal Reserve decide about interest rates in December?

One of the biggest open questions on The Fed, updated every morning · How outlooks work

Who leads

25 bps increase 68%

Then No change (30%), 50+ bps increase (1%)

As of Oct 2, 7:02 AM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

25 bps increase: 24% on Aug 18 · 68% now