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The Likely

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Oil and Metals

Bab el-Mandeb cargo transits fall to 14 amid Houthi blockade

Daily Bab el-Mandeb cargo transits fell to 14 on September 26, the Joint Maritime Information Center reported on September 27. The center confirmed no attacks occurred during the period, though it kept the threat level at substantial.

Why it mattersSailors remain in danger because authorities warn that new strikes on vessels are still very likely.

How we got here

  1. The Houthis declared a blockade on Saudi-affiliated shipping transiting Bab el-Mandeb. Gov
  2. Mohamed al-Bukhaiti stated the Houthis were targeting only Saudi Arabia, not the United States or other nations in the strait. AP
  3. JMIC noted no confirmed attacks, reported shipping traffic remained depressed, and retained a substantial threat level. UKMTO
  4. Houthi forces captured Mocha, Dhubab, Perim Island, and nearby islands, consolidating control over Yemen's Red Sea coast. UKMTO

What's likely next

  1. Italy was preparing an independent naval mission to protect Italian commercial vessels; the cited September 17 report gave no deployment date.

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