The Fed · The big questions

What will the Fed decide on interest rates in October?

One of the biggest open questions on The Fed, updated every morning · How outlooks work

Who leads

25 bps increase 66%

Then No change (34%), 50+ bps increase (1%)

As of Sep 29, 5:15 PM ET · what forecasting markets expect, not a guarantee. How this works

The last six weeks

25 bps increase: 24% on Aug 15 · 66% now