Sunday, October 4, 2026Track recordHow this worksGet the morning briefing

The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

The Midterms

Democrat Shannon Taylor leads Republican Rob Wittman in new poll

Democrat Shannon Taylor led Republican incumbent Rob Wittman 50% to 46% in Virginia's 1st Congressional District, according to a Washington Post poll published on October 1. Wittman has represented the district since 2007.

Why it mattersA flipped seat here directly alters the path to a House majority.

How we got here

  1. Shannon Taylor’s campaign announced that Virginia’s 1st District was moved to toss-up status. Shannontaylorva
  2. Virginia early voting began for the November general election. Gov
  3. A poll showed Taylor narrowly leading Wittman 50 percent to 46 percent. The Washington Post, Dccc
  4. Virginia scheduled the end of its early in-person voting. Gov

What's likely next

  1. Additional scheduled Sunday and Saturday early-voting days; October 31 is the last day of early voting.
  2. Deadline to request a mailed absentee ballot and to register to vote and cast a regular ballot.
  3. Same-day voter registration begins; people registering and voting at the same time must cast a provisional ballot.
  4. Deadline for mailed absentee ballots to be received by the general registrar.

All coverage

Something wrong or missing? Tell us.

More on The Midterms