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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

2028

Vance and Rubio have not officially launched 2028 White House bids

Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. asked Vice President JD Vance why Marco Rubio gets the good memes at a Washington summit on September 29. Neither Vance nor Rubio had made presidential aspirations official by September 30.

Why it mattersNothing changes right now for citizens because neither leader has formally announced a presidential campaign.

How we got here

  1. Vance said he and Usha would discuss seeking the 2028 Republican nomination after the 2026 midterms. CBS News
  2. Rubio stated via teleconference during a trip to Colombia that he had no plans at that time. Usatoday, Gov
  3. Ari Emanuel told Rachel Maddow that Trump had called Vance and Rubio a formidable group. Hollywoodreporter
  4. Kennedy asked Vance why Rubio gets the good memes during their appearance at the MAHA Summit. The Hill, Mahasummit

What's likely next

  1. Rubio: No next campaign-related step or decision date was reported; his stated position was that he had “no plans at this time.”
  2. JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce 2028 Republican presidential campaignsToss-up55%▲ from 41% a week ago

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