Monday, September 28, 2026Get the morning email

The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Politics

María Elvira Salazar challenges Donald Trump on immigration in new campaign ad

By The Likely · Updated Sep 28, 5:21 PM ET · Drawn from 9 sources · Written by AI, checked against sources

Incumbent María Elvira Salazar launched a campaign ad on September 17 challenging Donald Trump on immigration enforcement. Democratic challenger Eliott Rodriguez responded that Salazar had voted for the policies she was criticizing.

Why it mattersForecasters have shifted the district from solid Republican to likely Republican, and the DCCC lists the Miami-Dade County seat among its Florida targets.

Who will win Florida’s 27th Congressional District in 2026? Maria Elvira Salazar leadsLikely65%

How we got here

  1. Rodriguez won the Democratic primary and Salazar won the Republican primary for Florida's 27th District. Local10
  2. Fieldwork began for a survey of likely general-election voters. Floridapolitics
  3. An internal poll found the candidates tied after accounting for undecided voters. Floridapolitics
  4. Salazar’s campaign launched an ad in which she criticized some of President Trump’s immigration-enforcement efforts; Rodriguez criticized her response. Nbcmiami, Mariaelvirasalazar
  5. Florida’s voter-registration deadline for the general election. Gov
  6. Florida's mandatory early-voting period began. Gov

What's likely next

  1. Florida’s voter-registration deadline for the general election.

All coverage

The coverage

Analysis & opinion

Something wrong or missing? Tell us.

More in Politics