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Ukrainian forces advance or hold ground east of Slovyansk

By The Likely · Updated Sep 28, 5:21 PM ET · Drawn from 4 sources · Written by AI, checked against sources

Ukrainian units maintained positions and advanced east of Slovyansk as of September 27, according to ISW. Russian forces continued attacking toward Mykolaivka between September 21 and 23 but secured no confirmed advances.

Why it mattersDenying Mykolaivka blocks Russian forces from bypassing difficult terrain to open an assault route westward into Slovyansk.

Russia entering Mykolaivka by Oct 31Unlikely21%▼ from 70% a week ago

How we got here

  1. Russian forces reportedly infiltrated Mykolaivka east of Slovyansk. Understandingwar
  2. Russian forces infiltrated toward Mykolaivka from Pyskunivka and Rai-Oleksandrivka but failed to advance. Understandingwar
  3. Russian forces attempted to reach the Mykolaivka-Orikhuvatka line but failed to reach either settlement. Understandingwar
  4. Russian forces operated east and southeast of Slovyansk toward Mykolaivka and Fedorivka Druha without advancing. Understandingwar
  5. Russian forces increased foot-infiltration attempts, heavily struck Ukrainian logistics, and struggled to make gains. Understandingwar
  6. Ukrainian forces advanced or maintained positions east and southeast of Slovyansk, including east of Mykolaivka. Understandingwar

What's likely next

  1. Russia entering MykolaivkaLong shot5%
  2. Russia entering MykolaivkaUnlikely21%▼ from 70% a week ago
  3. Russia entering MykolaivkaToss-up60%

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