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The Likely

The news, and what's likely next.

Politics

Collins leads Jackson in new Maine Senate poll

Republican incumbent Susan Collins led Democrat Troy Jackson 49% to 46% in a New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena poll released on September 24.

Who will win the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election, including any runoffs? Troy Jackson (D) leadsLikely60%▼ from 73% a week ago

How we got here

  1. Troy Jackson won the Democratic nomination after Graham Platner's campaign collapsed. Mainepublic
  2. A report critical of Collins concerning an FBI corruption probe was published. Mainepublic
  3. A poll showed Jackson at 51% and Collins at 47% in a statistical tie. Edu
  4. Spectrum News reported the UNH poll and noted that it had been conducted before the ProPublica story. Spectrumlocalnews
  5. Maine’s general election is scheduled. Ballotpedia

What's likely next

  1. Collins and Jackson are scheduled to debate, hosted by WGME.
  2. A debate is scheduled, hosted by WMTW.
  3. A debate is scheduled, hosted by WABI and WAGM.
  4. A debate with a live audience and questions from Mainers is scheduled at Gracie Theater in Bangor, hosted by News Center Maine, the Portland Press Herald and Maine Public.

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